Caldwell's incidence rate still red, but getting lower

Caldwell County is one of 94 Kentucky counties at the red or critical level — more than 25 cases per 100,000 people in the last week.

The incidence rate of COVID-19 in Caldwell County is still at the highest level on a four-tier scale, but it has been steadily decreasing since hitting a peak on Nov. 4.

Caldwell County was at the red or critical level of incidence on Oct. 13-20 and is in the midst of another string of red-level days that began on Oct. 28. On Thursday, it was one of 94 Kentucky counties at the red level.

The incidence rate is figured for each county based on the number of new cases it has per 100,000 people measured over a seven-day period. The four levels of incidence are red or critical level (25 cases per 100,000 people), orange or accelerated level (10 to 25 cases), yellow or community spread level (1 to 10) and green or on track level (less than 1).

When Caldwell County re-entered the red level on Oct. 28, its incidence rate was 29.1 cases per 100,000 people. It jumped by 15.7 cases the next day to 44.8, then climbed steadily, reaching 53.8 cases on Nov. 2, 63.9 cases on Nov. 3 then jumped by almost 20 cases to its peak of 82.9 cases per 100,000 people on Nov. 4.

Since then, it has been steadily decreasing, lowering to 57.2 cases on Tuesday and dipping to 44.8 cases on Wednesday before hitting a slight increase to 47.1 on Thursday, the most recent information available prior to press time.

According to information provided by the Pennyrile District Health Department, Caldwell County reported 21 new cases for the weekend of Oct. 31 to Nov. 2, 30 new cases on Nov. 3 and 4, 13 new cases on Nov. 5, three new cases on Nov. 6, 12 new cases for Nov. 7-9, 16 new cases on Nov. 10, 14 new cases on Nov. 11 and six new cases on Nov. 12.

That totals 115 cases over the first 12 days of the month, or an average of 9.58 cases per day. Of that total, 19 are of school age (5 to 18 years old).

The health district reported last week that there were 131 Caldwell County students and staff in quarantine, with 16 students and staff in isolation. It emphasized that the 131 people did not necessarily have COVID-19 but had been in contact with someone who did.

As of Friday morning, there are 83 active cases of COVID-19 in Caldwell County with three of those being hospitalized. There are 49 active cases in Livingston County, 37 in Trigg County, 30 in Crittenden County and 26 in Lyon County.

Trigg County reported its first COVID-related death on Monday, making Caldwell County the only county in the five-county health district not to have a reported COVID-related death. There have been 13 COVID-related deaths in the health district.