Over a stretch of nine days, Caldwell County has had fewer than nine new cases of COVID-19 reported on any single day, and its COVID-19 incidence rate has dropped to the point of being very close to getting the county out of the red level for the first time since Oct. 28.
From Dec. 13 through Monday, Caldwell County has reported a total of 29 new cases of COVID-19, or just 3.2 cases per day. While December began with much higher numbers, since Dec. 5, it has had only three days of double-digit cases and 11 days with five or fewer cases, including two days with no new cases reported.
On Monday, Caldwell County reported three new cases, while it reported none on Sunday, three on Saturday, four on Friday, five on Thursday, nine on Dec. 16 and three on Dec. 15.
That information comes from the Pennyrile District Health Department, which provides daily reports for the five counties it covers, including Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon and Trigg counties.
Caldwell County’s incidence rate on Monday was 26.9, the lowest since Oct. 27, the day before it entered the red level of incidence on Oct. 28 and has remained there over the next 55 days.
A county’s incidence rate is the number of new COVID-19 cases reported over a seven-day period per 100,000 people. That information is gathered by the Kentucky Department of Public Health and provided to the Kentucky Cabinet for Health and Family Services, which provides daily incidence rate maps of the state with each county’s incidence rate. Those maps are color-coded to show the severity of the counties’ rates.
A county at the red or critical level indicates more than 25 cases reported per 100,000 people, while a county at the orange or accelerated level shows 10 to 25 cases per 100,000 people. A county in the yellow or community spread level shows 1 to 10 cases per 100,000 people, while counties at the green or on track level indicate less than 1 case per 100,000 people.
Caldwell County’s incidence rate was last above 100 on Dec 12 and has had a fairly steady drop since then. Except for a small increase on Dec. 14, the rate has decreased each day, making an 18-point drop on Dec. 16 to 66.1, a 16.8-point drop on Friday to 47.1 and a 14.6-point drop from Sunday to Monday to the most recent rate of 26.9.
Crittenden County has also shown an impressive decrease in its incidence rate. On Monday, that county’s rate was 14.6, a slight increase from the rate of 13 that it had Friday, Saturday and Sunday. It was in the red with an incidence rate of 29.2 on Thursday before dropping sharply into the orange zone.
While 117 of Kentucky’s 120 counties were at the red level on Monday, Crittenden County is in the orange level and very close to entering the yellow level. There hasn’t been a Kentucky county at the yellow level since Nov. 14 or at the green level since Oct. 25.